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Hurricane Haunts Hopeful Dems
September 17 - 5:21 PM
The outcome of two key Texas Senate races may be affected by the evacuation of voters from Galveston. Split between Senate Districts 11 and 17, the traditionally Democratic Galveston will almost certainly see a lower than usual voter turnout in the elections that are less than seven weeks away.
Galveston attorney Joe Jaworski, Democrat, is challenging incumbent Senator Mike Jackson in Senate District 11. Houston attorney Chris Bell, also a Democrat, is running against five Democrats and Republicans for the special election in Senate District 17, recently vacated by Kyle Janek.
The hopes of both Democrats hinge on a strong Democratic turnout and a divided Republican turnout. In that regard, Bell has an advantage over Jaworski. Bell has one Democratic opponent and four Republican opponents, and has a smaller percentage of his voting base affected by the storm. Jaworski has a single Republican opponent, which means his best hope may be for disaffected Republican voters to stay home on Election Day.
Chances are, the Texas Secretary of State's office will work with area election administrators to find alternative methods for Galveston voters to participate in the election. Should the effort fail or run into difficulties, though, Jaworski's chance of upsetting Jackson is likely to become quite slender.
Read more about these races --
Click here for Senate District 11
Click here for Senate District 17
Comment
DizzieLizzie
September 18 -
11:03 PM
Boys, boys, boys! Give it up! The fact is, Bell once said, of running for governor, that "even a corpse could get 31% of the vote". If I recall correctly, he got only 29.8%. Any prediction of a Bell victory anywhere is highly theoretical.
JackWit
September 18 -
11:01 PM
That's not what you said. You said, and I quote: "It has now been six years since his last non-loss." You did not qualify that. It has been less than two years since his last loss.
BarryS
September 18 -
10:59 PM
I was referring to public elections, not party election. The Democratic nomination, or the Republican nomination, or the Green Party nomination, is just a party office. The actual election for public office is what matters.
JackWit
September 18 -
10:58 PM
Wrong! Bell won the Democratic nomination for Governor in 2006.
BarryS
September 18 -
10:57 PM
I think that's a strange notion. Bell has lost so many times that the only thing he has going for him is that his name is strangely familiar to voters, but they can't remember why. But I know why: his only accomplishment is running for office, and occasionally not losing. It has now been six years since his last non-loss.
DemoFan
September 18 -
10:52 PM
I'd love to see a breakdown of the Democratic demographics in Galveston versus the rest of SD 17. My hunch is that there is a bigger pocket of white Dems on the island than in Fort Bend and Brazoria, which if true could hurt Chris Bell. Combined that with a strong push in the black community by Simmons, and Bell could end up hurting. That still seems like a distant possibility, but far less distant than it used to be.
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