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CQ: Dole Re-Election Headed for Trouble
September 16 - 9:41 AM

Congressional Quarterly has downgraded the likelihood of the re-election of U.S. Senator Elizabeth Dole of North Carolina to "No Clear Favorite". A longtime figure in national affairs in both Democratic and Republican administrations, a moderate Republican when moderation has been unpopular, Dole may fall prey to time and the times. At 55, Democratic State Senator Kay Hagen is making a strong challenge to the 72-year-old incumbent.

Dole's vulnerability comes from several sources, such as Pres. Bush's unpopularity, economic woes, the perception that free trade has cost thousands of North Carolina jobs, and the fact that Barack Obama's presence on the ballot may cause black voters to turn out in record numbers for down-ballot Democrats as well as the presidential candidate. Hagen has a solid record and has been a competitive fundraiser, so she has been able to damage voter support for a once popular senator.

Polls right now show a slightly seesawing race, with both Dole and Hagen showing slight leads in different polls and at different times. Dole has been fighting back and there is evidence that a recent ad campaign has slowed down Hagen. Libertarian Chris Cole is showing signs of getting support just under ten percent, which may be the biggest single factor in Dole's susceptibility to electoral defeat.

The view our information on the three candidates for U.S. Senate from North Carolina, CLICK HERE.

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